Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 1.947071e-05 2.367018e-05 0.000028 0.000034 0.000040 0.000046 0.000054
2025-07-27 1.463660e-05 1.993079e-05 0.000026 0.000034 0.000043 0.000054 0.000067
2025-08-03 1.249977e-05 1.863710e-05 0.000026 0.000036 0.000049 0.000063 0.000082
2025-08-10 9.879696e-06 1.617685e-05 0.000024 0.000036 0.000050 0.000068 0.000091
2025-08-17 7.319053e-06 1.329253e-05 0.000022 0.000034 0.000050 0.000070 0.000097
2025-08-24 5.570834e-06 1.122021e-05 0.000020 0.000032 0.000050 0.000072 0.000103
2025-08-31 4.482925e-06 9.944080e-06 0.000019 0.000032 0.000051 0.000076 0.000110
2025-09-07 3.507537e-06 8.647890e-06 0.000017 0.000031 0.000051 0.000079 0.000117
2025-09-14 2.626752e-06 7.312672e-06 0.000016 0.000030 0.000051 0.000080 0.000121
2025-09-21 1.956960e-06 6.205533e-06 0.000014 0.000028 0.000050 0.000081 0.000126
2025-09-28 1.396816e-06 5.153883e-06 0.000013 0.000027 0.000049 0.000082 0.000129
2025-10-05 1.074797e-06 4.545524e-06 0.000012 0.000026 0.000050 0.000084 0.000135
2025-10-12 7.736237e-07 3.939515e-06 0.000011 0.000026 0.000051 0.000089 0.000145
2025-10-19 5.665015e-07 3.491624e-06 0.000011 0.000026 0.000053 0.000094 0.000156
2025-10-26 5.036906e-07 3.487380e-06 0.000011 0.000028 0.000058 0.000104 0.000174
2025-11-02 3.394468e-07 2.995229e-06 0.000011 0.000028 0.000059 0.000108 0.000183
2025-11-09 1.768754e-07 2.305685e-06 0.000009 0.000026 0.000058 0.000108 0.000187
2025-11-16 8.978919e-08 1.825211e-06 0.000008 0.000025 0.000057 0.000109 0.000192
2025-11-23 4.945931e-08 1.549437e-06 0.000008 0.000025 0.000058 0.000113 0.000201
2025-11-30 2.170290e-08 1.260388e-06 0.000007 0.000024 0.000058 0.000115 0.000208
2025-12-07 6.075555e-09 9.652565e-07 0.000007 0.000023 0.000057 0.000116 0.000213
2025-12-14 9.027988e-10 7.345781e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000056 0.000117 0.000218
2025-12-21 4.197838e-12 5.292623e-07 0.000005 0.000021 0.000055 0.000117 0.000221